For anyone who is interested in reading the Supreme Court's opinion,
it can be found here at the official U.S. Supreme Court website.
My night-before-the-decision prediction wasn't too bad. I got the overall outcome right and I predicted that Chief Justice Roberts would write the controlling opinion. I completely missed that the statute would be upheld based on the Constitution's Tax Clause, but then again it appears that almost everybody else missed that too. I also missed that Anthony Kennedy would side with the conservatives on the Court, rather than with the liberals. This was completely unanticipated by most Court-watchers, and I didn't see it coming at all. I was sure that a vote to uphold the statute would be 6-3, with Roberts joining the majority in order to write the opinion. So, on big picture stuff, I was right, but on the details I was wrong. I will have to go back and work on my prognostication skills!
I don't really have much in the way to add to the already voluminous commentary on the internet about the decision, except to say that I think that conservatives and libertarians who are consoling themselves with the idea that Chief Justice Roberts has somehow crafted a judicial decision along the lines of
Marbury v. Madison are deeply, deeply mistaken. I think that this decision should be seen as nothing more than a decisive repudiation of the conservative project on the Supreme Court. And I say this for four reasons.
First, the conservatives lost. Yes, yes, Chief Justice Roberts said many fine and dainty things about conservative legal doctrine in his opinion, but those fine and dainty things don't mean anything in this case. When push came to shove, the Obama administration won and won with the help of a justice -- the chief justice -- who has up to this point been seen as a conservative. While legal doctrine, supported by fine and dainty words, has a place in the long-term developing of a body of law, the simple fact of the matter is that there is no substitute for victory.
This post over at Ann Althouse's blog makes that point quite well.
Second, even if the fine and dainty things written by the Chief Justice mattered in this case, they do not cover over the massive boost in government power that Roberts crafted for the administration through his construction of the Tax Clause. Whatever limitations his decision puts on the use of the Commerce Clause (and there is a significant debate over whether his decision actually limits the scope of Commerce Clause power at all, but that's a post for a different day), those limitations have been effectively rendered moot by Roberts' approach to the Tax Clause. Not only is the tax power now seen as being virtually absolute, Congress doesn't even have to call what it is doing a tax in order for the Tax Clause to apply. Congress and the executive can, in fact, vociferously deny that what they are doing is a tax at all, and the Tax Clause will still work to rescue the government's action. This is a deeply, deeply disturbing aspect of Roberts' decision, one that has very serious implications for the idea of limited federal power under our constitutional order.
One of the primary limitations on the government's use of the tax power is the idea that it usually has to use that power in the daylight. It has to call what it is doing a tax, or something relatively close enough to a tax for people to be able to figure out that a tax is a-coming. Well, that's over now. Now the government can deny, deny, deny that what it is doing is a tax or anything at all like a tax --
like the Obama administration did again today! -- and thanks to Chief Justice Roberts the Tax Clause will work its magic and provide the government with the authority to do what it wants to do. This is a blow for transparency from our elected officials and it is bad, bad, bad news for proponents of accountable government.
Third, there is virtually no sustainable move on the Court to limit the power of the federal government. Right now, the Court is posed at the edge of a knife over every kind of case that raises the issue of federal power. The conservatives (Scalia, Thomas and Alito) don't make up a plurality of the Court, the liberals (Breyer, Ginsburg, Sotomayor and Kagan) do. The balance of power is now held by the moderates (Roberts and Kennedy), and in order to win on ideologically-charged issues the conservatives have to get both of them on board. That leaves the conservatives with no margin for error. And this term, that problem has become more and more pronounced for the conservatives -- on everything from juvenile sentencing to immigration to the Obamacare decision. This simply is too fragile a coalition to produce consistent and strong results in favor of moving the Court to limit the every growing reach of the federal government. Roberts has now demonstrated this term that he is not a reliable conservative vote -- he is now in play on the fundamental issue of the scope of federal power.
Fourth, Roberts' decision isn't even a model of judicial humility.
David Brooks today wrote an op-ed in the New York Times saying that Roberts is an example of a humble public servant. As Brooks writes:
In his remarkable health care opinion Thursday, the chief justice of the United States restrained the power of his own institution. He decided not to use judicial power to overrule the democratic process. He decided not to provoke a potential institutional crisis. Granted, he had to imagine a law slightly different than the one that was passed in order to get the result he wanted, but Roberts’s decision still represents a moment of, if I can say so, Burkean minimalism and self-control.
Burkean minimalism??? Give me a break. Brooks admits that Roberts engaged in outcome-oriented judging "in order to get the result he wanted[.]" Well, that isn't judicial humility in deference to the political branches. It is judicial arrogance, taking on the rightful authority of the legislature and the executive to craft the law at issue. And we're not talking about a little gap filling or a nip and tuck in order to make the overall statutory scheme work more efficiently or to clarify an ambiguity in the drafted language. That kind of stuff, sadly, is not uncommon as the judiciary has to work with statutes that are, to put it mildly, badly written. In order to get where he wanted to go, Roberts engaged in a wholesale re-writing of the statute, a re-writing that Brooks concedes was imaginative. Roberts' opinion stands as one of the most audacious acts of judicial decision-writing in the last thirty years, matched only by the plurality decision by Souter, O'Connor and (yes) Anthony Kennedy in defense of abortion in
Planned Parenthood v. Casey. Forget strict construction, what Roberts engaged in hardly qualifies as construction at all; it was an imaginative re-creation of the statute from the bench. And whatever that is, it is not humble or deferential judicial decision-making.
So, for those four reasons, I think that conservatives and libertarians who are taking solace in the legal doctrine professed by Chief Justice Roberts are gravely mistaken. When looking at judicial decisions, it is critical to look not just at what the judges and justices say, one must look at what they do. And what Roberts has done is to drastically weaken the cause of limited government and sensible construction of the Constitution and the laws enacted pursuant to it. For conservatives, Roberts' opinion is not good, and no amount of wishful thinking or clever hair-splitting will make it better.
Related item: Smitty over at the Other McCain
gives some good advice to conservatives and libertarians about their path forward now that Obamacare has received the imprimatur of the Supreme Court. Well worth a read.